Growling Since 1996
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Daily Market Report Page (08/17)
Weekly Market Summary Page (08/14)
Year End 2010 Summary Page (12/31/10)
Year End 2009 Summary Page (12/31/09)
Year End 2008 Summary Page
(12/31/08)
Crash of 2008 Weekly Summary Page
(10/13/08)
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Previous Week's Commentaries: Monday; Tuesday; Wednesday; Thursday; Friday
Current Links of Interest
David
Haggith: Graphic Anatomy of a Stock Market Crash (08/09)
David
Haggith: US Economy Keeps Moving Into Summer Storm (07/14)
David
Haggith: Central Banks Buying Stocks Have Rigged US Stock Market Beyond
Recovery (06/27)
David Haggith:
Retail Apocalypse Engulfs US Economy – Shutters 23,000 Stores, and That’s Just
the First Destructive Wave! (06/20)
David
Haggith: Is the Central Bank’s Rigged Stock Market Ready to Crash on Schedule?
(06/13)
David
Haggith: Summer Storm Keeps Building as Second Dip of Great Recession
Approaches (06/05)
David
Kranzler: A Stock Market Crash: A Matter Of “When,” Not “If” (05/30)
Benjamin
Smith: The Latest Sign of a Looming Stock Market Crash (05/30)
Mate Cser: The
Schiller P/E Hits 30 (05/17)
Dent
Research: Could this be the Straw that Breaks the Market’s Back? (05/08)
Mark
Snyder: Have We Reached a Turning Point For Stocks? Tuesday Was the Worst Day
(03/22)
David
Haggith: 2017 Economic Forecast: Global Headwinds Look Like Mother of All
Storms (03/08)
David
Haggith: 2017 Economic Headwinds: Housing Bubbles Popping Up and Just Plain
Popping Everywhere (02/27)
David Stockman: The
Crash Will Be Violent (02/10)
Brian Maher: An Omen
of Global Collapse (01/30)
Brian
Maher: The Second Largest Bubble in 100 Years (01/25)
Curmudgeon: SoGEN “Bruised
Bears” Shows US Most Overvalued Market (01/12)
EconMatters:
Capital Destruction is a Fascinating Concept (01/09)
Moe
Zulfiqar: Stock Market Crash: 3 Factors Say Big Declines Ahead for Stocks in
2017 (01/05)
David
Haggith: If 2016 Wasn’t the Epocalypse, What the Heck Was It? (01/04)
Curmudgeon: 2016 Market
Review, Fund Flows and Bid Adieu (12/31)
Curmudgeon/Victor
Sperandeo: Trump Viewed Thru Rose Colored Glasses; Victor’s Market Updates
(12/27)
Victor
Sperandeo/Curmudgeon: Short Term Interest Rates, Unemployment, the CPI and
ANIMAL SPIRITS (12/19)
Curmudgeon/Victor
Sperandeo: Ecstatic U.S. Stock Market Defies History and Ignores Increased
International Risk (12/12)
Curmudgeon/Victor
Sperandeo: Italian Referendum Fails, PM Resigns; Possible EU Breakup? (12/05)
Curmudgeon: Russell 2000
Breaks Out to All Time High With a 15-day Winning Streak (11/30)
Victor
Sperandeo/Curmudgeon: The Equity Markets and U.S. Dollar Continue Their Bull
Runs (11/28)
Victor
Sperandeo/Curmudgeon: Effect of Trunp’s Fiscal Policies on Stocks, Bonds, Gold
and U.S. Dollar (11/21)
Victor
Sperandeo/Curmudgeon: A Requiem of the 2016 Election and Market Reaction
(11/14)
Victor
Sperandeo/Curmudgeon: 2016 Election – Impact on Politics, the Economy, and
Markets (11/06)
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Weekly Charts
Dow
Jones Industrials (08/11)
red line - 50 DMA; green line - 200 DMA; pink line - NYSE adv/dec
green line - Dow 21 DMA; red line - 50 DMA
NASDAQ
Composite (08/11)
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green line - 21 DMA; red line - 50 DMA
S&P 500 (08/11)
red line - 50 DMA; green line - 200 DMA; pink line - NYSE VIX
The Fed with its Keynesian vision believes it can hold off a correction forever. In the history of the stock market, that’s never been done.
Confidence and complacency are more acute
now than any time I’ve seen before. All expressions of overvaluation are at historical
extremes. Despite this, most money managers remain in the market. The thesis is
“if it’s going up, regardless of anything else, I want to be in it.” Perhaps
the best indicator of complacency is the VIX which at its current level of 13
tells us that investors see no reason to protect their positions. Every minor
decline is seen as a buying opportunity. The rationale is that the Fed would
not allow anything worse than a 10% decline. If the stock market starts sinking
between now and October 1st, I will be most interested to see if the Fed
eliminates QE.
Richard Russell,
90-year-old publisher of the Dow Theory since 1958.
Archives
The Magic Wand of Liquidity Page (08/11/17)
Fiend's Bear Encounters (1939-42, 1973-74,
1981-82) Page
DJIA, adv/dec, and momentum data
from 1990 to 07/17/17
Market Top of 1968 Revisited
Business Week's The Death of Equities Revisited
Tj's Financial Cartoon Gallery
Miki's Portraits of Some
Bulls of the Millennium
This page was last updated on August 17, 2017.
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